Interpolative Models Regarding the Health Status of a Population

D. Berian, T. Dragomir
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Abstract

In extension of the study initiated in the work of Berian and Dragomir (2006), this paper presents modalities of use information regarding the health status of a population, available under the statistical data form, in order to develop mathematical models. The approach is organized around two concepts: the statistical individual and the synthetic individual. The state variable taken into account is the ten-year risk of a fatal cardiovascular disease, from the moment the certain parameters of the patient are measured. In this context, two complementary models are presented. The first model, a first order model, known from the work of Dragomir and Berian (2007), allows the introduction of the concept of time constant, the second, a second order model, has the advantage to be more accurate.
关于人口健康状况的插值模型
作为在Berian和Dragomir(2006年)的工作中开展的研究的延伸,本文提出了利用统计数据形式提供的有关人口健康状况信息的方式,以便建立数学模型。该方法是围绕两个概念组织的:统计个体和合成个体。考虑到的状态变量是从测量患者的某些参数开始的10年致命心血管疾病的风险。在这种情况下,提出了两个互补的模型。第一个模型,一阶模型,从Dragomir和Berian(2007)的工作中得知,允许引入时间常数的概念,第二个,二阶模型,具有更准确的优点。
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