Impact of covid pandemic on market valuation of largest aircraft manufacturers

P. Šuleř, J. Vrbka
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Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly affected the global economy, with a significant impact on the transport sector. It also directly influenced the market valuation of the most important aircraft manufacturers – Boeing and Airbus. Our research shows how investors responded to the spread of the disease and increased market risk. In the case of sudden events, such as serious accidents, investors react immediately, while in the case of the pandemic, despite its global scale, the reaction of investors was delayed, with an impact on the current development of the pandemic in the countries where trading takes place. The risk is thus underestimated at the beginning of the pandemic, which is followed by panic shopping and selling at the moments when the pandemic peaks in the USA and EU. It has also been found that it is not possible to reduce the risk of investment diversification between those companies that react very similarly to the threat of pandemic. Based on the correlation between the trend of share prices of the above aircraft manufacturers and the number of ill people, it can be stated that investors do not effectively take advantage of opportunities to reduce risk and increase returns in this area. The paper also presents further research in the field of the impacts of the pandemic and further global development.
新冠肺炎疫情对大型飞机制造商市场估值的影响
2019冠状病毒病大流行对全球经济产生了重大影响,对交通运输部门产生了重大影响。它还直接影响了最重要的飞机制造商——波音和空客的市场估值。我们的研究显示了投资者对疫情蔓延和市场风险增加的反应。在突发事件,如严重事故的情况下,投资者立即作出反应,而在大流行病的情况下,尽管其全球规模,投资者的反应是延迟的,这对进行交易的国家当前大流行病的发展产生了影响。因此,在大流行开始时,风险被低估了,随后在美国和欧盟大流行达到顶峰时,恐慌性购物和抛售。人们还发现,不可能减少那些对大流行威胁的反应非常相似的公司之间投资多样化的风险。根据上述飞机制造商的股价走势与患病人数之间的相关性,可以认为投资者并没有有效地利用这一领域的机会来降低风险,增加回报。该文件还介绍了在大流行影响和进一步全球发展领域的进一步研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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