Two-Stage Robust Planning Scheme for Simulating Renewable Energy Integration Considering Versatile Low-Carbon Policies

J. Li, Y. Li, Yuqi Wang, Jingjing Cao, Xiong Wu, Tao Ding
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Abstract

As the power industry is the largest source of carbon emissions, it is necessary to study the low-carbon planning of power supply expansion. This paper proposes a two-stage power expansion planning model considering carbon emission control, which evaluates two policies that directly and indirectly affect carbon emissions, namely the carbon tax policy and the renewable portfolio standard policy (RPS) is expected to reduce CO2 emissions. Considering the risks brought by the uncertainty of wind power output and load demand to power planning, a two-stage power expansion planning model based on robust optimization is established. Finally, the feasibility of the model proposed in this paper is verified by example analysis. The results show that the carbon tax policy can reduce carbon emissions, and the implementation of RPS can increase the proportion of new energy and be more resistant to uncertain fluctuation risks, which can be used in actual planning, providing support for formulating relevant low-carbon policies.
考虑多种低碳政策的模拟可再生能源整合的两阶段稳健规划方案
由于电力行业是最大的碳排放源,因此有必要研究电力供应扩张的低碳规划。本文提出了考虑碳排放控制的两阶段扩电规划模型,该模型评估了两种直接和间接影响碳排放的政策,即碳税政策和可再生能源投资组合标准政策(RPS)有望减少二氧化碳排放。考虑风电输出和负荷需求的不确定性给电力规划带来的风险,建立了基于鲁棒优化的两阶段扩电规划模型。最后,通过实例分析验证了本文模型的可行性。结果表明,碳税政策可以减少碳排放,实施RPS可以提高新能源比重,更能抵御不确定波动风险,可用于实际规划,为制定相关低碳政策提供支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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