The Russian Federation: Confronting the Special Challenges of Ageing and Social Security Policy in an Era of Demographic Crisis

Nicholas N. Eberstadt, Hans Groth
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引用次数: 9

Abstract

This article focuses on the Russian Federation's demographic crisis and the implications it holds for the ability of the Russian government (or the Russian people through their own efforts) to generate enough funds to provide a reasonable level of old-age economic security. Although Russia's overall population profile structure stands to be broadly similar to that of other more-developed societies, both today and in coming decades, the challenges of providing for an ageing population are far more acute for Russia than for typical Member States of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. One factor that adds significantly to the problem is that working-age Russians today suffer substantially worse health and higher mortality than residents of other countries at similar — and indeed even at much lower — levels of income. Although the arguments presented focus on pensions, the same factors that will make it difficult to supply adequate pensions also mean that other aspects of social protection will be similarly difficult to fulfil. Successful social security policy for Russia, consequently, will depend upon much more than social programmes alone: it will require the reduction of mortality rates for working-age individuals, the revitalization of higher education, and fundamental reform of the country's institutions and economic policies.
俄罗斯联邦:在人口危机时代面对老龄化和社会保障政策的特殊挑战
本文主要关注俄罗斯联邦的人口危机及其对俄罗斯政府(或俄罗斯人民通过自己的努力)产生足够资金以提供合理水平的老年经济保障的能力的影响。尽管俄罗斯的总体人口结构与其他更发达的社会大体相似,无论是现在还是未来几十年,但与经济合作与发展组织(oecd)的典型成员国相比,俄罗斯面临的供养老龄化人口的挑战要严峻得多。一个显著加剧这一问题的因素是,与其他收入水平相似甚至低得多的国家的居民相比,如今处于工作年龄的俄罗斯人的健康状况和死亡率要差得多。虽然所提出的论点集中在养恤金上,但使难以提供足够养恤金的同样因素也意味着社会保护的其他方面也同样难以实现。因此,俄罗斯成功的社会保障政策将不仅仅取决于社会方案:它将需要降低工作年龄个人的死亡率,振兴高等教育,以及对国家机构和经济政策进行根本改革。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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