Study on China Strategy for Responding to the Epidemic from the Perspective of Industrial Supply Chain Elasticity Theory

Gefu Zhang, X. Xie
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Abstract

The sudden outbreak of COVID-19 has hit the global economic hard, and the right strategy is necessary to get the industrial supply chain out of trouble quickly. Based on the anti-epidemic experiences of China, firstly, an epidemic impact measurement model was defined based on supply chain elasticity theory. Then, a five-stage planning model for the elastic deformation of industrial supply chain under major public health emergencies is constructed by fitting the life cycle law of event development. Finally, taking the supply chain data of China's apparel industry as an example, the optimal solution was obtained by using the Spreadsheet programming, and the error value was lesser than 12%. This model proves that the anti-epidemic strategies adopted by the Chinese government are scientific and effective and can provide a guiding tool for decision makers to predict the industrial development in the event of major public health emergencies.
产业供应链弹性理论视角下的中国应对疫情战略研究
突如其来的新冠肺炎疫情给全球经济带来沉重打击,需要正确的战略,才能使产业供应链迅速摆脱困境。在中国抗疫经验的基础上,首先基于供应链弹性理论定义了疫情影响测度模型;然后,通过拟合事件发展的生命周期规律,构建了重大突发公共卫生事件下产业供应链弹性变形的五阶段规划模型。最后,以中国服装行业供应链数据为例,利用电子表格编程得到最优解,误差值小于12%。该模型证明了中国政府采取的防疫策略是科学有效的,可以为决策者在发生重大突发公共卫生事件时预测产业发展提供指导工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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