Disastrous Selling Decisions: The Disposition Effect and Natural Disasters

Matthew Henriksson
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Abstract

Combining county-level natural disaster data with individual investor transactions, I document an increased disposition effect for investors impacted by a natural disaster. This effect is increasing in disaster severity and decreasing in the length of time following the event, suggesting that extreme natural disasters can significantly influence investor behavior, especially in the short term. These findings are not explained by liquidity needs, tax incentives, or informed trading. The effect strengthens with local stocks and investors’ duration at their residence. Moreover, the increased disposition effect of disaster-affected investors is consistent with investors deriving utility from environmental damages and realized gains/losses.
灾难性出售决策:处置效应与自然灾害
结合县级自然灾害数据和个人投资者交易,我记录了受自然灾害影响的投资者的处置效应增加。这种影响在灾害严重程度上是增加的,在事件发生后的时间长度上是减少的,这表明极端自然灾害可以显著影响投资者的行为,特别是在短期内。这些发现不能用流动性需求、税收激励或知情交易来解释。这种效应随着当地股票和投资者在其居住地的持续时间而增强。此外,受灾害影响的投资者处置效应的增加与投资者从环境损害和已实现损益中获得效用是一致的。
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