Residential and Industrial Energy Efficiency Improvements: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis of the Rebound Effect

X. Pautrel, Sondès Kahouli
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Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate bi-directional spillovers into residential and industrial sectors induced by energy efficiency improvement (EEI) in both the short- and long-term, and the impact of nesting structure as well as the size of elasticities of substitution of production and utility functions on the magnitude and the transitional dynamic of rebound effect. Developing a dynamic general equilibrium model, we demonstrate that residential EEIs spillovers into the industrial sector through the labor supply channel and industrial EEIs spill-overs into the residential sector through the conventional income channel. Numerical simulations calibrated on the U.S. suggest that not taking into account these spillover effects could lead to mis-estimate the rebound effect especially of residential sector EEIs. We also demonstrate how the size and the duration of the rebound effect depend on the value of elasticities of substitution. Especially, the elasticity of substitution between energy and non-energy consumption in household utility and the elasticity of substitution between physical capital and labor in production play a major role. Numerical simulations suggest that alternative sets of value for the elasticities of substitution may give sizable different patterns of rebound effects in both the short- and long-term. In policy terms, our results suggest that energy efficiency policies should be implemented simul- taneously with rebound effect offsetting policies by considering short- and long-term wide-economy feedbacks. As a consequence, they recall for considering debates about what type of policy path- ways is more effective in mitigating the rebound effect.
住宅和工业能源效率的提高:反弹效应的动态一般均衡分析
本文旨在从短期和长期两个方面探讨能源效率提升对居民和工业部门的双向溢出效应,以及嵌套结构、生产函数和效用函数替代弹性大小对反弹效应大小和过渡动态的影响。通过建立一个动态一般均衡模型,我们证明了居民经济创新是通过劳动力供给渠道向工业部门溢出的,而工业经济创新是通过传统收入渠道向居民部门溢出的。以美国为基准的数值模拟表明,如果不考虑这些溢出效应,可能会导致对反弹效应的错误估计,尤其是住宅行业的经济影响指数。我们还证明了反弹效应的大小和持续时间如何取决于替代弹性的值。其中,家庭公用事业中能源消费与非能源消费之间的替代弹性和生产中物质资本与劳动之间的替代弹性起着重要作用。数值模拟表明,替代弹性的不同值集可能会在短期和长期产生相当不同的反弹效应模式。在政策方面,我们的研究结果表明,通过考虑短期和长期的广泛经济反馈,能源效率政策应与反弹效应抵消政策同时实施。因此,他们回顾了关于哪种政策路径在缓解反弹效应方面更有效的辩论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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