Assessment of the Management of Socio-Economic Development of the Volgograd Region

Andrey Karpov, Natalia V. Gorshkova
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Abstract

The article is devoted to the results of testing the methodology for assessing the management of the socio-economic development of the region on the example of the Volgograd region. The author’s methodology includes three main blocks and an additional one. The assessment of the overall level of socio-economic development of the Volgograd region was carried out on the basis of 67 indicators for eight regional subsystems considered as factors of regional development. The results of the current assessment were compared with the past conditions of the region as well as with the average indicators for the Southern Federal District (SFD), summarized in the assessment of its synthetic region. The evaluation results are presented in tabular, graphical and matrix forms, which significantly increases the analyticity of the probed technique. As a result of approbation of the methodology for calculations and assessments of the Volgograd region socio-economic development management, it was empirically revealed that: there is the Matthew effect; the least weight in the formation of the development level of Volgograd region is contributed by environmental and natural resource factors, the greatest – social, financial and infrastructure factors; socio-economic development of the Volgograd region is most sensitive to changes in the social, innovative and infrastructural factors-subsystems; factors limiting socio-economic development for the Volgograd region and the synthetic region of the SFD are the environmental on the lower boundary and social factors-subsystems – on the upper one. Further directions of development and application of the results of the approbation of the considered technique made by the authors are determined.
伏尔加格勒地区社会经济发展管理评估
本文以伏尔加格勒地区为例,专门讨论评估该地区社会经济发展管理方法的测试结果。作者的方法论包括三个主要部分和一个附加部分。伏尔加格勒地区社会经济发展总体水平的评估是根据被认为是区域发展因素的八个区域子系统的67个指标进行的。目前的评估结果与该地区过去的情况以及在其综合区域评估中总结的南部联邦区(SFD)的平均指标进行了比较。评价结果以表格、图形和矩阵的形式呈现,显著提高了探针技术的可分析性。通过对伏尔加格勒地区社会经济发展管理的计算和评价方法的认可,实证结果表明:存在马太效应;环境和自然资源因素对伏尔加格勒地区发展水平的影响最小,社会、金融和基础设施因素对伏尔加格勒地区发展水平影响最大;伏尔加格勒地区的社会经济发展对社会、创新和基础设施子系统的变化最为敏感;制约伏尔加格勒地区和SFD综合区域社会经济发展的因素是环境因素在下边界,社会因素子系统在上边界。确定了进一步开发和应用的方向,以及作者对所考虑的技术的认可结果。
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