Solar Radiation Modification is risky, but so is rejecting it: A call for balanced research

C. Wieners, Benedikt Hofbauer, Iris E de Vries, Matthias Honegger, D. Visioni, H. Russchenberg, T. Felgenhauer
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

As it is increasingly uncertain whether humanity can limit global warming to 1.5 degrees, Solar Radiation Modification (SRM) has been suggested as a potential temporary complement to mitigation. While no replacement for mitigation, evidence to date suggests that some SRM methods could contribute to reducing climate risks and would be technically feasible. But such interventions would also pose environmental risks and unprecedented governance challenges. The risks of SRM must be carefully weighed against those of climate change without SRM. Currently, both types of risks are not sufficiently understood to assess whether SRM could be largely beneficial. Given the already serious impacts of climate change and the possibility that pressure from their increasing severity will trigger rash decisions, we argue that timely, careful investigation and deliberation on SRM is a safer path than wilful ignorance. A framework of ethical guidelines and regulation can help limit potential risks from SRM research.
太阳辐射修正是有风险的,但拒绝它也是有风险的:呼吁进行平衡的研究
由于人类是否能够将全球变暖限制在1.5度以内越来越不确定,有人建议将太阳辐射调节(SRM)作为缓解措施的潜在临时补充。虽然无法替代缓解,但迄今为止的证据表明,一些SRM方法可能有助于减少气候风险,并且在技术上是可行的。但这种干预也会带来环境风险和前所未有的治理挑战。必须仔细权衡SRM的风险与没有SRM的气候变化风险。目前,这两种类型的风险都没有得到充分的了解,无法评估SRM是否能够在很大程度上有益。考虑到气候变化已经造成的严重影响,以及其日益严重的压力可能会引发草率的决定,我们认为,对SRM进行及时、仔细的调查和审议是比故意无知更安全的途径。伦理准则和监管框架可以帮助限制SRM研究的潜在风险。
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CiteScore
2.90
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