Analyzing the Perceptions of Egyptian Youth About the Arab Spring

Ali Fakih, Pascal L. Ghazalian
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Egyptian youth played a central role in the Arab Spring (AS) uprisings, yearning for changes in the political system and for better economic conditions. This paper investigates the perceptions of young Egyptians about the AS. The empirical analysis uses a bivariate ordered probit model to examine the factors influencing these perceptions through proxies that cover political, social, and economic conditions. The results reveal that social values and ideological characteristics matter more than the standard socio-economic attributes in understanding the perceptions of young Egyptians. They indicate that individuals with secularist, non-traditionalist, and gender equality inclinations formed more favourable perceptions about the AS. Also, they suggest that the AS has led to unfavourable perceived circumstances for the Arab Nationalism and pan-Islamism ideologies, and propitious perceived conditions for further connection with the global system. These findings signal that the AS may have set a path toward a significant transformation in the Egyptian society.
分析埃及青年对阿拉伯之春的看法
埃及青年在阿拉伯之春(AS)起义中发挥了核心作用,他们渴望政治体制的变革和更好的经济条件。本文调查了埃及年轻人对AS的看法。实证分析使用双变量有序概率模型,通过涵盖政治、社会和经济条件的代理来检查影响这些观念的因素。结果表明,在理解埃及年轻人的看法时,社会价值观和意识形态特征比标准的社会经济属性更重要。他们表明,具有世俗主义、非传统主义和性别平等倾向的个体对AS形成了更有利的看法。此外,他们认为,阿拉伯世界为阿拉伯民族主义和泛伊斯兰主义意识形态带来了不利的感知环境,并为进一步与全球体系联系带来了有利的感知条件。这些发现表明,AS可能已经为埃及社会的重大转变开辟了一条道路。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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