Learning-by-Erring: Towards a New View of Rationality in Economics

ERN: Search Pub Date : 2020-04-03 DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3567538
Kenneth N. Matziorinis, Mathieu Provencher
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Abstract

The cornerstone of mainstream economic theory is the premise of rationality. Humans are assumed to be rational economic agents who, subject to the available information and limited resources, are able to select, among a set of alternatives, the best means to maximize their ends and their individual subjectively defined welfare. This view has been subject to debate and criticism from the earliest days of modern economic thought. Is human action rational or irrational and how successful are economic agents at maximizing individual or collective welfare? In this paper, the authors argue that economic agents are endowed with the capacity for rational thinking but not the ability to maximize their ends, as it is acquired through learning from the mistakes we make in practice. The efficiency of rational decisions is limited to the amount of experience and knowledge we possess when decisions are taken. The authors introduce a learning function describing the rational decision-making process and argue that erring is not trivial but carries significant costs and consequences. Making errors is the price we pay to learn and accumulate valuable new knowledge and human capital. Inherent to the decision-making process is the making of errors which, rather than being trivial, are a valuable opportunity to learn and accumulate knowledge. The rational decision-making process is enhanced from the accumulation of knowledge, which raises the efficiency of our decisions, moving closer to maximizing outcomes, and increases welfare.
从错误中学习:走向经济学理性的新观点
主流经济理论的基石是理性的前提。人类被认为是理性的经济主体,在现有信息和有限资源的约束下,能够在一组备选方案中选择最佳手段,以实现其目标和个人主观定义的福利最大化。从现代经济思想的早期开始,这种观点就一直受到争论和批评。人类行为是理性的还是非理性的?经济主体在最大化个人或集体福利方面有多成功?在本文中,作者认为,经济主体被赋予了理性思考的能力,但没有能力最大化他们的目的,因为它是通过从我们在实践中犯的错误中学习而获得的。理性决策的效率受限于我们做出决策时所拥有的经验和知识的数量。作者引入了一个描述理性决策过程的学习函数,并认为错误不是微不足道的,而是会带来巨大的代价和后果。犯错误是我们学习和积累有价值的新知识和人力资本的代价。决策过程中固有的错误不是微不足道的,而是学习和积累知识的宝贵机会。理性决策过程因知识的积累而得到加强,这提高了我们决策的效率,更接近于结果最大化,并增加了福利。
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