Bank Defaults - Not as Rare as Expected and Quite Possible to Document

P. Tornqvist, H. Bang
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Abstract

This paper uses historical default data for banks in the United States, United Kingdom, Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden to shed new light on the frequency of bank defaults. Data shows that bank defaults in Europe have a markedly lower frequency than in the United States. Also bank defaults in Europe almost exclusively happens in conjunction with financial crises, while bank defaults in the US are annual events. Further more, the majority of bank defaults in all countries examined refer to small institutions and not to systemically important banks. Thus size relative to the domestic market is an important differentiator to bank default probability.
银行违约——不像预期的那么罕见,而且很有可能记录下来
本文利用美国、英国、丹麦、芬兰、挪威和瑞典银行的历史违约数据,对银行违约的频率有了新的了解。数据显示,欧洲银行违约的频率明显低于美国。此外,欧洲的银行违约几乎完全与金融危机同时发生,而美国的银行违约则是年度事件。此外,在所调查的所有国家中,大多数银行违约都涉及小型机构,而不是具有系统重要性的银行。因此,相对于国内市场的规模是区分银行违约概率的一个重要因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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