Information Warfare: An Old Operational Concept With New Implications

Abe Singer, S. Rowell
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

Conclusions The new balance of information and energy (as well as the degree of coupling between them) is changing the conduct of warfare. Expect to see much more intensive use of deception, stealth and redundancy as well as much smaller and stealthier platforms in order to neutralize the impact of highly accurate PGMs. Taken in aggregate, these changes call for fundamentally different approaches to the design and development of weapon systems, which, in turn, will inevitably lead to basic changes in strategy, tactics and doctrine. Key assets of the national civilian infrastructure may, under certain circumstances, become highly lucrative military centers of gravity for an adversary, blurring the traditional dividing line between the combatant and civilian domains. Even more disturbing is the nature of this critical vulnerability--involving asymmetry of forces, arduous tracing of information warfare attacks, and the bypassing of the military. These conditions, and their interrelationships, may radically alter the role of the military as well as our definition of war. A Fundamental Question Information warfare has recently captured the attention of the news media. Numerous articles on the subject have appeared in the popular press--a cover story in Time, a major article in Scientific American, and many op-ed pieces in major newspapers. Yet information warfare is virtually as old as warfare itself. For example, Joshua used information warfare (as feigning tactics) three thousand four hundred years ago in the capture of 'Ay; the Greek city--states conducted information warfare (in the form of deception) two hundred years later in their conflict with Troy; and during the Absalom Rebellion three thousand years ago, King David succeeded in overloading Absalom's decision-making process with unnecessary information--precipitating the reversal of a critical military decision--thus saving David from virtually certain destruction and assuring ultimate victory. So what's new about information warfare? Is it just the latest buzz word? Is it merely the consolidation of a large set of incremental increases in the role of information in warfare during the last three decades--primarily in the areas of precision guided munitions (PGM) as well as in command, control, communications and intelligence--or is it the leading edge of a step--function change having enormous implications on how wars will be fought in the future? Many unbiased, analytical thinkers are skeptical about any dramatic change. Unfortunately, current literature on information warfare contributes to this skepticism. An examination of the open literature on information warfare shows that recent attempts to address this issue suffer from two major shortcomings. Authors either (1) get involved in attempts to predict technology, thus incurring a loss of credibility with many readers (history is replete with examples of how technology predictions can make fools of some of the brightest minds), or (2) they wrap information warfare up in the broader issues of a revolution in military affairs, thereby losing focus and becoming diverted by irrelevant controversies. A radically different approach to the subject is obviously in order. Energy and Information In his book On the Psychology of Military Incompetence (published almost half a century ago), Brigadier General Norman Dixon makes this interesting observation: "War is primarily concerned with two sets of activities--the delivery of energy and the communication of information." In other words, in its most basic form, war boils down to two dimensions, energy and information. Drawing on Dixon's work, the 'information-energy' lens provides an excellent vehicle for addressing the issue of what's new about information warfare, because it allows us to maintain the same paradigm while examining warfare throughout human history--from the days of the caveman, to the agrarian age, to the invention of gunpowder, to the industrial age, to the information age. …
信息战:一个具有新含义的旧作战概念
新的信息和能量平衡(以及它们之间的耦合程度)正在改变战争的行为。为了抵消高精度制导导弹的影响,我们期望看到更多的欺骗、隐身和冗余的使用,以及更小、更隐蔽的平台。总的来说,这些变化要求对武器系统的设计和发展采取根本不同的方法,这反过来将不可避免地导致战略、战术和理论的基本变化。在某些情况下,国家民用基础设施的关键资产可能成为对手利润丰厚的军事重心,模糊了战斗和民用领域之间的传统分界线。更令人不安的是这一关键漏洞的本质——涉及力量的不对称、对信息战攻击的艰苦追踪,以及绕过军方。这些条件,以及它们之间的相互关系,可能会从根本上改变军队的角色以及我们对战争的定义。信息战最近引起了新闻媒体的注意。大众媒体上出现了许多关于这个问题的文章——《时代》杂志的一篇封面故事,《科学美国人》的一篇主要文章,以及主要报纸的许多专栏文章。然而,信息战实际上和战争本身一样古老。例如,约书亚在三千四百年前用信息战(作为假装的战术)占领了'Ay ';两百年后,希腊城邦在与特洛伊的冲突中进行了信息战(以欺骗的形式);在三千年前的押沙龙叛乱期间,大卫王成功地向押沙龙的决策过程提供了不必要的信息,从而使一个关键的军事决策发生逆转,从而使大卫免于几乎肯定的毁灭,并确保了最终的胜利。那么,信息战有什么新鲜之处呢?它只是最新的流行语吗?它仅仅是过去三十年来信息在战争中的作用(主要是在精确制导弹药(PGM)以及指挥、控制、通信和情报领域)的大量增量增长的巩固,还是它是对未来战争方式产生巨大影响的一步功能变化的前沿?许多不偏不倚、善于分析的思想家对任何戏剧性的变化都持怀疑态度。不幸的是,目前关于信息战的文献助长了这种怀疑。对公开的信息战文献的研究表明,最近解决这一问题的尝试有两个主要缺点。作者要么(1)参与预测技术的尝试,从而导致许多读者失去可信度(历史上充满了技术预测如何使一些最聪明的人成为傻瓜的例子),要么(2)他们将信息战包装在军事革命的更广泛问题中,从而失去焦点并被无关的争议所转移。显然,对这个问题采取一种完全不同的方法是必要的。在他的书《论军事无能的心理学》(出版于近半个世纪前)中,准将诺曼·迪克森做了一个有趣的观察:“战争主要涉及两种活动——能量的传递和信息的交流。”换句话说,在其最基本的形式,战争归结为两个维度,能源和信息。借鉴迪克森的工作,“信息-能量”视角为解决信息战的新问题提供了一个极好的工具,因为它允许我们在研究人类历史上的战争时保持相同的范式——从穴居人时代到农业时代,到火药的发明,到工业时代,再到信息时代。…
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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