Model of Dynamics the Inflation Macro Indicators Taking into Account External Influences

Abstract

A developmental model reflects the dynamics of macro indicators of the Russian economy, such as the consumer price index, the ruble exchange rate, the dynamics, and the annual GDP index in the medium term. When building the model, we used expert hypotheses, patterns, and statistical data. To build a model, we used a phenomenological approach, which consists in formalizing the properties of the observed reaction of the economy to external influences and the subsequent verification of the resulting model.