Uncertainty and Decision-Making During a Crisis: How to Make Policy Decisions in the COVID-19 Context?

L. Berger, Nicolas Berger, V. Bosetti, I. Gilboa, L. Hansen, C. Jarvis, M. Marinacci, Richard D. Smith
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引用次数: 19

Abstract

Policymaking during a pandemic can be extremely challenging. As COVID-19 is a new disease and its global impacts are unprecedented, decisions need to be made in a highly uncertain, complex and rapidly changing environment. In such a context, in which human lives and the economy are at stake, we argue that using ideas and constructs from modern decision theory, even informally, will make policymaking more a responsible and transparent process.
危机中的不确定性与决策:如何在2019冠状病毒病背景下做出决策?
大流行期间的决策可能极具挑战性。由于COVID-19是一种新型疾病,其全球影响前所未有,因此需要在高度不确定、复杂和快速变化的环境中做出决策。在这样一个人的生命和经济处于危险之中的背景下,我们认为,使用现代决策理论的思想和结构,即使是非正式的,也会使决策过程更加负责任和透明。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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