Sustainable Energy Planning Based on the Electrical Grid and Green Energy Transition in Kenya between 2019-2030

Abstract

This research article is a strategic and well holistic document to guide both national and county governments to achieve 100% energy access and prioritize sustainable energy transition besides creating many green jobs and enterprises. It shall also form a very primary document and basis for every investor across the various opportunities and, in particular, energy generation and distribution. Energy is the prime engine of economic growth; its planning signals a direct positive impact on social welfare, economic activities, socio-political development, environmental sustainability. This article uses Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) software to provide the respective Medium-Term Plan (MTP) & Long-Term Plan (LTP) Update for the period 2019 (base year) to 2030. This MTP is the identification and analysis of suitable expansion paths of the country’s power system for that period, complying with the defined planning criteria and framework. This encompasses (i) examining of yesteryear electricity demand and advancement of future insistence scenarios; (ii) analysis of favorable expansion candidate fuels and technologies plus their scheduling; (iii) modeling of their anticipated addition to the prospective power generation and the expedient operation of the generation system for the year 2030. The key recommendation is that the Government of Kenya ought to determine means to sustainably expedite broad-based development in the MTP - implying stable and sufficient energy (including but not limited to grid electricity) supply to cater to growing demand.