Consumption Smoothing And Vulnerability In Four Rural Villages Of Ethiopia

T. Nigussie
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Abstract

Using year long intensive monitoring rural household survey, the study has shown that while covariant shocks lead to change in consumption patterns, idiosyncratic shocks appear to be fully insured using various copying strategies. However, households were less likely sell livestock to smooth income shock during survey periods. They seek for wage employments but are compelled to sell livestock in absence of such opportunities. Impact of changes in total household income on consumption with control for idiosyncratic shocks were also investigated and found that households are smoothing their consumption evenly across time. Further test of consumption smoothing indicated that there is a limit to insure against shocks through better-off households within communities. Disaggregating into asset poor and nonpoor, the study has also shown that asset poor households are more diversifying income sources than asset nonpoor. However, most of them have low returns; and hence they are more vulnerable than asset nonpoor households.
埃塞俄比亚四个农村的消费平滑与脆弱性
通过对农村家庭进行为期一年的密集监测调查,该研究表明,虽然协变冲击导致消费模式的变化,但使用各种复制策略似乎可以完全避免特殊冲击。然而,在调查期间,家庭不太可能出售牲畜来缓解收入冲击。他们寻找有工资的工作,但由于没有这样的机会,他们被迫出售牲畜。在控制特殊冲击的情况下,还调查了家庭总收入变化对消费的影响,发现家庭在时间上均匀地平滑他们的消费。对消费平滑的进一步测试表明,通过社区内较富裕的家庭来抵御冲击的保险是有限的。该研究还表明,将资产贫困家庭分为资产贫困家庭和非贫困家庭,其收入来源比资产贫困家庭更加多样化。然而,它们中的大多数回报率很低;因此,他们比拥有资产的非贫困家庭更脆弱。
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