The Role of the Agricultural Economist in Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change in the Oil Palm Industry in the Southern Nigeria

O. O. Osuafor, Ebere O. Offiah
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Abstract

When human activities which cause climate change raise threats to the environment, the Agricultural Economist who is also a policy maker should take careful measures even if some cause and effect relationships are not established. The vulnerability of Nigerian Agricultural sector to climate change is of particular interest to policy makers in the economy accounting for higher percentage of the labour force. There are many adaptation options which can be adopted by farmers at low cost but proper estimates of adaptation cost and benefits are currently deficient due to the involvement of wrong climate change actors. As is the case with making an economic decision, the astute response by an Agricultural Economist will depend on equating and or comparing benefits and cost. When the expected benefits of adaptation are positive, the rational decision maker (the Oil Palm farmer) will take adaptive actions. Policy options in particular must become available. Climate change will almost surely make life even harder for the world’s poorest and most vulnerable Oil Palm farmer. An Agricultural Economist must play his role in reducing the society’s vulnerability to losses from climate change and avoid restricting farm ers’ capacity to adapt by limiting their options. The devastating effects of climate change and the need for an integrated response requires resilient and adaptive institutions and exemplary actors like the Agricultural Economist to lead the process towards creating an enabling environment for adaptation to climate change. This paper described the potential role the Agricultural Economist can play in climate change adaptation, in the Oil Palm industry and aims to address the question: what policy and institutional changes are needed to encourage agricultural adaptation strategies/ practices to develop the industry and the nation as a whole. The paper concluded that advances in understanding of climate change adaptation can come from collection of better data, development of new methods and models, observation of changes in climate and its effects, by an Agricultural Economist in order to accommodate new dimensions brought about by climate change.
农业经济学家在尼日利亚南部油棕产业农业适应气候变化中的作用
当导致气候变化的人类活动对环境造成威胁时,作为政策制定者的农业经济学家即使没有建立一些因果关系,也应该采取谨慎的措施。尼日利亚农业部门对气候变化的脆弱性引起了政策制定者的特别关注,因为该国经济占劳动力的比例较高。农民可以采用许多低成本的适应方案,但由于错误的气候变化行为者的参与,目前缺乏对适应成本和效益的适当估计。就像做出经济决策一样,农业经济学家的精明反应将取决于平衡或比较收益和成本。当适应的预期收益为正时,理性的决策者(油棕种植者)将采取适应行动。政策选项尤其必须变得可用。气候变化几乎肯定会让世界上最贫穷、最脆弱的油棕种植者的生活更加艰难。农业经济学家必须发挥自己的作用,减少社会对气候变化损失的脆弱性,避免通过限制农民的选择来限制他们的适应能力。气候变化的破坏性影响和综合应对的必要性要求具有复原力和适应性的机构以及像农业经济学家这样的模范行为者引领这一进程,为适应气候变化创造有利的环境。本文描述了农业经济学家在适应气候变化中可以发挥的潜在作用,在油棕产业中,旨在解决这样一个问题:需要什么样的政策和制度变革来鼓励农业适应战略/实践,以发展该行业和整个国家。该论文的结论是,农业经济学家可以通过收集更好的数据、开发新的方法和模型、观察气候变化及其影响来提高对气候变化适应的认识,以便适应气候变化带来的新维度。
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