Climate Change and Food Security in South Asia – HDR 2011

Seeme Mallick
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Abstract

Climate change has the potential to be the most significant challenge to human development in the near future, it is not only an environmental issue but also one that affect our very existence because of its direct links with agriculture and food security. The most painful reality of climate change is that it is the poorer countries that stand to suffer most, and it is the poorest in the poor countries that have the least capacity to withstand the effects of climate change. At a time when South Asia is seized with the problem of poverty and inflation, it stands to be further aggravated by climate change. Therefore, the action ought to be on the most vulnerable sector that climate change will affect i.e. food and agriculture.Across South Asia (Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka), large proportion of the population depend on agriculture for their livelihoods. Most of the South Asia receives Monsoons every year, but rainfall in the semi-arid and sub-humid regions of South Asia is highly variable and unpredictable and influences agricultural productivity accordingly. Over the centuries, farming practices in the South Asia has developed as a response to local climatic conditions. The greatest challenge that South Asia faces is lifting some 500 million people out of poverty, but this already-formidable challenge is made all the more difficult because along with local environmental repercussions of intensive agriculture, global warming has also started to affect food production, raising food deficit over the last two decades, showing stagnation in productivity curve of the Green Revolution agricultural miracle of South Asia.The environmental challenges due to climate change, such as water shortages and storms resulting in soil erosion threaten future social upheavals, climate change migrants and political conflicts in the region.
南亚的气候变化与粮食安全- HDR 2011
在不久的将来,气候变化有可能成为人类发展面临的最重大挑战,它不仅是一个环境问题,而且还影响到我们的生存,因为它与农业和粮食安全直接相关。气候变化最令人痛苦的现实是,最贫穷的国家将遭受最大的苦难,而最贫穷的国家中最贫穷的人最没有能力承受气候变化的影响。在南亚面临贫困和通货膨胀问题的时候,气候变化将进一步加剧这一问题。因此,行动应该针对气候变化将影响到的最脆弱的部门,即粮食和农业。在整个南亚(孟加拉国、不丹、印度、马尔代夫、尼泊尔、巴基斯坦和斯里兰卡),很大一部分人口依靠农业为生。南亚大部分地区每年都受到季风的影响,但南亚半干旱和半湿润地区的降雨变化很大,难以预测,从而影响农业生产力。几个世纪以来,南亚的农业实践已经发展成为对当地气候条件的反应。南亚面临的最大挑战是使大约5亿人摆脱贫困,但这一已经艰巨的挑战变得更加困难,因为随着集约化农业对当地环境的影响,全球变暖也开始影响粮食生产,在过去二十年中增加了粮食赤字,显示出南亚绿色革命农业奇迹的生产力曲线停滞不前。气候变化带来的环境挑战,如水资源短缺和导致土壤侵蚀的风暴,威胁着该地区未来的社会动荡、气候变化、移民和政治冲突。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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