Türkiye Yağış Şiddeti Serilerinin Homojenlik Analizi

Utku Zeybekoğlu, Aslı ÜLKE KESKİN
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Abstract

In this study, homogeneity checking the annual maximum rainfall intensity series for periods ranging from 30 to 78 years were obtained from 103 stations operated by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Absolute homogeneity tests namely Standard Normal Homogeneity Test (SNHT), Buishand Range Test (BRT), Pettitt Test (PT), and Von Neumann Ratio Test (VNRT) were applied at a confidence level of 95%. Stations were classified inhomogeneous if at least one of the standard durations data classified suspect or doubtful. Assuming that the factor destabilizing the homogeneity is the trend, a detrended methodology (DFA) was performed. After the implementation of DFA, absolute homogeneity tests were reapplied to the series of rainfall intensity. As a result of this study 49 of 103 stations called useful all 14 standard durations. 45 of the remaining 54 stations classified useful all standard durations after trend components separated from rainfall intensity series. As a result of the analysis, it was determined that the remaining 8 of 103 stations had inhomogeneous values after the trend components were separated.
在本研究中,对土耳其国家气象局运营的103个站点30 ~ 78年的年最大降雨强度序列进行了均匀性检验。采用绝对齐性检验,即标准正态齐性检验(SNHT)、Buishand极差检验(BRT)、Pettitt检验(PT)和Von Neumann Ratio检验(VNRT),置信水平为95%。如果至少有一个标准持续时间数据被分类为可疑或可疑,则台站被分类为非均匀。假设不稳定同质性的因素是趋势,采用非趋势方法(DFA)。实施DFA后,再次对降雨强度序列进行了绝对均匀性检验。这项研究的结果是,103个监测站中有49个称所有14个标准持续时间都是有用的。在余下的54个气象站中,有45个气象站将有用的所有标准持续时间从降雨强度序列中分离出来。分析结果表明,分离趋势分量后,103个站点中有8个站点的值不均匀。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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