Relationship between Defense Expenditure and Economic Growth in Nepal

O. Poudel
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This research study investigates the impact of defense expenditure (DE) and export on Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP) of Nepal. The RGDP is the dependent variable and defense expenditure and export are the independent variables. Data since 1974 to 2020 are taken from secondary sources of Nepal Rastra Bank, ministry of finance to find the relationship between them. Augmented Dickey- Fuller Test is run to test stationary condition in the variables. The Vector Error Correction Method (VECM) coefficient is significant and positive. There is no evidence that economic growth and the independent variables have a long-run relationship but there is short-run causality running from DE to RGDP and export to RGDP.The result of Granger Causality Test shows there exists unidirectional relationship between RGDP and DE. Similarly, there exists unidirectional relationship between RGDP and export but there is no relationship between DE and Export. Results confirm the variables are the determinants of economic growth in Nepal. So policy makers should consider on these variables for economic growth of the country.
尼泊尔国防费与经济增长的关系
本研究探讨尼泊尔国防支出(DE)和出口对实际国内生产总值(RGDP)的影响。其中,国内生产总值为因变量,国防费和出口为自变量。1974年至2020年的数据取自尼泊尔拉斯特拉银行和财政部的二手资料,以找出两者之间的关系。运用增广的Dickey- Fuller检验来检验变量的平稳状态。矢量误差校正方法(VECM)系数显著且为正。没有证据表明经济增长与自变量之间存在长期关系,但从DE到RGDP以及出口到RGDP之间存在短期因果关系。格兰杰因果检验的结果表明,RGDP与DE之间存在单向关系,同样,RGDP与出口之间存在单向关系,而DE与出口之间不存在关系。结果证实,这些变量是尼泊尔经济增长的决定因素。因此,政策制定者应该考虑国家经济增长的这些变量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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