Assessment of meteorological and hydrological drought using drought indices: SPI and SSI in eastern Slovakia

T. Soľáková, M. Zeleňáková, V. Mikita, H. Hlavatá, D. Simonová, Hany Abd Elhamid
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The current article presents a one-dimensional frequency analysis of historical drought events in the years 1972 to 2014 in the eastern part of Slovakia. Two physical drought types: meteorological and hydrological are classified by SPI – standardized precipitation index and SSI – standardized streamflow index. These indexes have the same mathematical calculation, the difference is only in the input initial monitored data collected from seven rain gauge stations and seven river stations. The most appropriate theoretical probability distribution of selected data is performed using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, which is done in EasyFitt program. The basic parameters of meteorological and hydrological drought are determined by the application of the RUN method. One – dimensional frequency analysis of two physical droughts is created for a purpose of estimating the probability of their occurrence in time and identifying the spatial vulnerability of this area. The main benefit of this work is the identification of the average return time of drought events. On average we can expect a moderate meteorological drought in 18.14 to 36.8 months and a hydrological drought in 26 to 60 months.
利用干旱指数评估气象和水文干旱:斯洛伐克东部的SPI和SSI
本文对斯洛伐克东部1972年至2014年的历史干旱事件进行了一维频率分析。利用SPI标准化降水指数和SSI标准化流量指数将气象和水文两种物理干旱类型划分为两类。这些指标具有相同的数学计算,不同之处在于输入的初始监测数据来自7个雨量站和7个河流站。选择数据的最合适的理论概率分布使用Kolmogorov-Smirnov检验,这是在EasyFitt程序中完成的。应用RUN方法确定了气象水文干旱的基本参数。建立了两次自然干旱的一维频率分析,以估计其发生的时间概率和识别该地区的空间脆弱性。这项工作的主要好处是确定干旱事件的平均复发时间。平均而言,我们可以预期18.14至36.8个月的中度气象干旱和26至60个月的水文干旱。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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