Short-term wind power prediction based on extreme learning machine

Yaming Ren
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Large-scale grid connection of green and clean energy has become a development trend in the energy field. Accurate prediction of wind power output power can reduce the negative impact of wind power on the power system. In this paper, we use extreme learning machine method to achieve short-term prediction of wind power, and determine the optimal number of hidden layer neurons by lattice method. In order to verify the effectiveness of extreme learning machine neural network, we compare the simulation results of extreme learning neural network method and BP neural network method. Simulation results show that the prediction accuracy of extreme learning machine method is similar to that of BP neural network. At the same, considering that extreme learning machine only need to calculate the weight matrix from the hidden layer to the output layer, so extreme learning machine has certain computing advantage compared with BP neural networks.
基于极限学习机的短期风电预测
绿色清洁能源大规模并网已成为能源领域的发展趋势。准确预测风电输出功率可以减少风电对电力系统的负面影响。本文采用极限学习机方法实现风电短期预测,并通过点阵法确定隐层神经元的最优数量。为了验证极限学习机神经网络的有效性,我们比较了极限学习神经网络方法和BP神经网络方法的仿真结果。仿真结果表明,极限学习机方法的预测精度与BP神经网络的预测精度相近。同时,考虑到极限学习机只需要计算隐含层到输出层的权矩阵,因此与BP神经网络相比,极限学习机具有一定的计算优势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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