The Forecast of the Rural Energy Consumption Structure Based on the Grey Model Theory

Abstract

In this article, we applied the grey model to forecast the rural energy consumption structure. The research results indicated that the rural energy consumption structure would not change largely, and the consumption structure would develop to the direction with high quality and commercialization. In next 5 years, for the rural energy consumption structure, the proportion of the commercial energy will increase slowly and the use of the living energy will still occupy the leading status, and in the living energy consumption, the traditional biomass energy will still occupy the dominant status, and the proportion of the electric power will increase slowly, and the proportion of the firedamp will increase largely.