On the Sociology of Innovation: Public versus Private Investment in Alternative Energy Development for the Twenty-First Century

Roger I. Roots
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Abstract

For more than a century, social scientists have predicted an end to known supplies of petroleum, coal and other nonrenewable energy commodities. Experts and policymakers have sought to hedge off this allegedly approaching calamity by promoting alternatives such as solar, hydroelectric, wind, biomass, and geothermal energy. More recently, Washington policymakers have been advocating a move to hydrogen energy, and have proposed multi-million-dollar research and development (R & D) programs to produce the technology capable of applying hydrogen energy to motor transportation. This article analyzes some of these energy proposals in light of data amassed by the late economic history scholar Julian Simon. Simon’s path-breaking research suggests that there really is no “energy crisis” at all, because energy scarcity is reflected in price, and real energy prices have been declining for more than a century (1996, 163). Humans are born problem-solvers, concluded Simon, and they can best solve their energy problems through private-sector competition in free markets. Private entrepreneurs, notes Simon, have managed to improve extraction methods so much that known stocks of coal and petroleum are much more plentiful now than ever before. Moreover, there is great danger that government planning and funding of energy R & D will stifle rather than foster energy innovation because government funding breeds rent-seeking and other non-inventive behaviors among scientists that outweigh the benefits of funding (Kealey 1996).
创新社会学:21世纪替代能源开发中的公共与私人投资
一个多世纪以来,社会科学家一直预测石油、煤炭和其他不可再生能源商品的已知供应将会终结。专家和政策制定者试图通过推广太阳能、水力发电、风能、生物质能和地热能等替代能源,来避免这场据称即将到来的灾难。最近,华盛顿的政策制定者一直在倡导转向氢能,并提出了数百万美元的研发计划,以生产能够将氢能应用于汽车运输的技术。本文根据已故经济史学者朱利安•西蒙(Julian Simon)收集的数据,对其中一些能源建议进行了分析。西蒙开创性的研究表明,根本不存在真正的“能源危机”,因为能源短缺反映在价格上,而实际能源价格一个多世纪以来一直在下降(1996,163)。西蒙总结道,人类天生就是问题解决者,他们可以通过自由市场中私营部门的竞争来最好地解决能源问题。西蒙指出,私营企业家已经成功地改进了开采方法,以至于现在已知的煤炭和石油库存比以往任何时候都要丰富。此外,政府对能源研发的规划和资助会扼杀而不是促进能源创新,这是一个很大的危险,因为政府资助会滋生科学家之间的寻租和其他非创造性行为,这些行为超过了资助的好处(Kealey 1996)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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