Monitoring and assessment of fire consequences in the Republic of Buryatia

A. Y. Astrakhantseva, V. Garmyshev
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Abstract

The article aims to study statistical data on the consequences of fires in the Republic of Buryatia from 2009 to 2020 using the methods of social and mathematical statistics. The study is relevant due to the current situation with fires and integral fire risk indicators in the municipalities. Man-made fires have been a source of increased danger to health and lives of the population, causing great material damage. Fires are a direct threat to the demographic situation in the region since they cause premature mortality. For households, fires undermine social status, destroy social units, cause moral harm aggravating stress, which provokes illnesses. From the technical point of view, man-made fires create risks for dilapidated houses and facilities that do not meet the fire safety requirements. The Republic of Buryatia is a region with a weak degree of industrial development and a vast territory with a low distribution of settlements, i.e. considerable remoteness from the regional centers. The impact of fires (which make up 99% of all types of emergency situation) on the social well-being of the population is studied. Based on the methodology and calculations of fire risks by the number of fires, injured and killed, material damage and destroyed buildings, it was established that the level of protection of residents of Buryatia from fire risks is insufficient. The indicators should encourage the government to develop and implement effective safety measures.
监测和评估布里亚特共和国的火灾后果
本文旨在利用社会统计和数理统计的方法,研究2009年至2020年布里亚特共和国火灾后果的统计数据。这项研究是相关的,因为目前的火灾情况和综合火灾风险指标在城市。人为火灾对人民的健康和生命造成了越来越大的危险,造成了巨大的物质损失。火灾是对该区域人口状况的直接威胁,因为它们造成过早死亡。对于家庭来说,火灾破坏社会地位,破坏社会单位,造成道德伤害,加剧压力,从而引发疾病。从技术角度来看,人为火灾会给不符合消防安全要求的危房和设施带来风险。布里亚特共和国是一个工业发展程度较弱的地区,领土辽阔,定居点分布较低,即远离区域中心。研究了火灾(占所有紧急情况类型的99%)对人口社会福利的影响。根据火灾次数、伤亡人数、物质损失和被毁建筑物的方法和火灾危险的计算,可以确定布里亚特居民免受火灾危险的保护程度是不足的。这些指标应该鼓励政府制定和实施有效的安全措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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