Detecting probable manipulation of financial statements. Evidence from a selected Zimbabwe Stock Exchange-Listed bank

Kudakwashe Mavengere, B. Dlamini
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Abstract

Purpose: The study used the Beneish M Score to discover probable financial statement manipulation by a selected Zimbabwe Stock Exchange-listed bank. Research methodology: The Beneish M Score eight variable statistical model was applied to secondary data of the selected bank from 2011 to 2018. The model utilizes ratios in distinguishing between manipulators and non-manipulators, with a yardstick measure of -2.22. Results greater than -2.22, classify the organization as a financial statements manipulator with less than -2.22 classify it as a non-manipulator. Results: The M score model detected manipulation for the years 2011 (-0.74), 2013 (-1.84), and 2015 (-2.19), which are greater than the benchmark of -2.22. The years 2012 (-3.17), 2014 (-2.46), 2016 (-3.07), 2017 (-2.80) and 2018 (-2.42) reveal the bank as a non-manipulator as these values are less than -2.22. Limitations: The Beneish M score statistical model was modeled for manufacturing companies. The study sought to test the M Score’s applicability in the banking sector and it was restricted to the selected bank for the years 2011 to 2018. Contribution: The Beneish M score is a valuable model for users of issued annual financial statements to guard against earnings manipulation. Stakeholders rely on audited financial statements, believed to be free from manipulation, yet companies fold up with unqualified audit opinions contained in published financial statements. The study validates the Beneish M score statistical model for detecting manipulation in published annual financial statements in Zimbabwe, where there is limited research on earnings manipulation.
发现可能的财务报表操纵行为。证据来自选定的津巴布韦证券交易所上市银行
目的:本研究使用贝尼什M分数来发现一家选定的津巴布韦证券交易所上市银行可能的财务报表操纵。研究方法:选取银行2011 - 2018年的二次数据,采用Beneish M Score八变量统计模型。该模型利用比率来区分操纵者和非操纵者,其尺度度量为-2.22。结果大于-2.22,将该组织归类为财务报表操纵者,小于-2.22将其归类为非财务报表操纵者。结果:M评分模型在2011年(-0.74)、2013年(-1.84)和2015年(-2.19)检测到操纵行为,均大于基准的-2.22。2012年(-3.17),2014年(-2.46),2016年(-3.07),2017年(-2.80)和2018年(-2.42)显示银行是非操纵者,因为这些值小于-2.22。局限性:贝尼什M分数统计模型是为制造业公司建模的。该研究旨在测试M评分在银行业的适用性,并仅限于2011年至2018年选定的银行。贡献:贝尼什M分数是一个有价值的模型,为发布年度财务报表的用户防范盈余操纵。利益相关者依赖经审计的财务报表,相信这些报表不受操纵,但企业却因公布的财务报表中包含不合格的审计意见而倒闭。该研究验证了贝尼什M分数统计模型,用于检测津巴布韦公布的年度财务报表中的操纵行为,津巴布韦对盈余操纵的研究有限。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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