Social Consequences of the Oil Price Shock in the Resource Rich Post-Soviet Countries

Cesd Research Group
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

This study seeks to determine the impact the fall in global oil prices post-2014 had on the welfare of the populations of three resource-rich post-Soviet states: Russia, Kazakhstan, and Azerbaijan. Changes in welfare will be explored through the analysis of several socio-economic indicators affected by the local currencies’ devaluations. It will be suggested that the single-commodity export dependence of the countries concerned, and the domestic development of non-trade-able sectors faltered in the face of external shocks. Several policy suggestions are offered to mitigate the effects of the economic downturns observed.
石油价格冲击对资源丰富的后苏联国家的社会影响
本研究旨在确定2014年后全球油价下跌对三个资源丰富的后苏联国家(俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦和阿塞拜疆)人口福利的影响。将通过分析受当地货币贬值影响的若干社会经济指标来探讨福利的变化。有人认为,有关国家对单一商品出口的依赖,以及非贸易部门的国内发展,在面对外部冲击时动摇了。提出了几项政策建议,以减轻所观察到的经济衰退的影响。
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