U.S. Experience with Futures Transactions Taxes: Effects in a Highly Intermediated Market

Scott Mixon
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Abstract

The transactions tax on futures sharply reduced trading volume on wheat and corn contracts during the 1920s and 1930s but had no apparent effect on volatility or market quality. I find no evidence of a tax effect on open interest: I hypothesize this is because the relative magnitude of the tax was significantly higher for intermediaries than for other participants. Instead, the tax appears to have substantially reduced intra-day trading but not longer-term positioning. Volume-related proxies of liquidity therefore exhibit a strong relation with tax rates, but other measures of market quality show no relation to tax rates. In the long-run, however, exchange members doubled the minimum tick size in order to retain a large number of market makers and offset the impact of the tax.
美国期货交易税的经验:对高度中介市场的影响
在20世纪20年代和30年代,期货交易税大幅减少了小麦和玉米合约的交易量,但对波动性或市场质量没有明显影响。我没有发现税收对未平仓合约有影响的证据:我假设这是因为中介机构的税收相对幅度明显高于其他参与者。相反,税改似乎大幅减少了日内交易,但没有减少长期仓位。因此,流动性的成交量相关代理表现出与税率的强烈关系,但其他衡量市场质量的指标显示与税率无关。然而,从长期来看,交易所成员将最低交易额度提高了一倍,以留住大量做市商,抵消税收的影响。
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