Foreign Trade and Macroeconomic Effects of Exports

T. Todorova
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

We find that the IS-LM model and the national income model reinforce each other in the context of exports and the export multiplier. Using simple differentiation techniques, we derive several relationships with respect to foreign trade. As predicted by Keynes, exports have a favorable effect on national income and the interest rate. Exports also increase the average price level and the exchange rate in the country. Through the mechanism of the export multiplier exports increase imports, savings, and consumption. A higher propensity to import reduces national income and fosters a negative trade balance. Similar is the effect of a higher exchange rate which discourages exports and encourages imports.
对外贸易与出口的宏观经济效应
我们发现,在出口和出口乘数的背景下,IS-LM模型和国民收入模型是相互强化的。利用简单的微分法,我们推导出了几种关于对外贸易的关系式。正如凯恩斯所预测的那样,出口对国民收入和利率有有利的影响。出口也提高了该国的平均价格水平和汇率。通过出口乘数机制,出口增加进口、储蓄和消费。较高的进口倾向会减少国民收入,造成负贸易平衡。同样,较高的汇率也会抑制出口,鼓励进口。
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