Tidal currents forecasting using a hybrid of ANN and least squares model

H. Aly, M. El-Hawary
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Forecasting is the first step for dealing with the future generation of the tidal current power. A neural network is one of the most commonly used models for forecasting. It is generally constructed from input, output and hidden layers. The least squares method is used to determine the approximate solution of over-determined system in which the number of equations is greater than the number of unknowns. In this study tidal currents models based on combining an artificial neural network (ANN) and the least squares method (LSM) were developed and evaluated for forecasting currents over a future month. The results of the least squares model are compared with those of the artificial neural networks. A hybrid model of ANN and least squares is proposed and this model gives good results compared to either the ANN or LSM alone. This study was done using data collected from the Bay of Fundy in 2008.
基于人工神经网络和最小二乘模型的潮流预测
预测是应对未来潮汐发电的第一步。神经网络是最常用的预测模型之一。它通常由输入层、输出层和隐藏层构成。用最小二乘法求解方程数大于未知量的过定系统的近似解。本研究以人工神经网路(ANN)与最小二乘法(LSM)相结合的潮流模型为基础,开发并评估未来一个月的潮流预测。将最小二乘模型与人工神经网络的结果进行了比较。提出了一种神经网络和最小二乘的混合模型,与单独使用神经网络或LSM相比,该模型具有良好的效果。这项研究是利用2008年芬迪湾收集的数据完成的。
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