Recent computer modeling advances for process hazard analysis

D. Worthington
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Abstract

Major accident risk management is a complicated aspect of chemical plant management. The managers involved (and typically the majority of managers working in a chemical plant will be actively involved in safety issues) have to work to strike a balance between many conflicting pressures. Examples of such factors include profitability, production targets, legislation, the workforce and the environment. Sometimes there is an ideal solution where an alternate engineering design can completely eliminate the risk of a major accident. However, more often than not, even after design modifications, there will be finite risk of a major accident. The successful risk management policy will result in an acceptable balance between the driving pressures of the business and decreasing risk. The balance might be sought considering both local and federal governments, the public, the media, the company workforce, the environment, the relevant insurance company and the financial interests of the business. An essential part of the risk management process is optimizing the use of the available safety budget. A large budget could very easily be spent with no significant increase in safety if the wrong decisions are made regarding priorities in design changes or plant modifications. This article discusses forms of methodical analysismore » to assist in enabling optimum use of the safety engineering budget.« less
过程危害分析的计算机建模新进展
重大事故风险管理是化工厂管理的一个复杂方面。涉及的管理人员(通常在化工厂工作的大多数管理人员都会积极参与安全问题)必须努力在许多相互冲突的压力之间取得平衡。这些因素的例子包括盈利能力、生产目标、立法、劳动力和环境。有时存在一种理想的解决方案,其中替代工程设计可以完全消除重大事故的风险。然而,通常情况下,即使在设计修改之后,发生重大事故的风险也是有限的。成功的风险管理策略将在业务驱动压力和降低风险之间取得可接受的平衡。要在地方和联邦政府、公众、媒体、公司员工、环境、相关保险公司和企业的财务利益之间寻求平衡。风险管理过程的一个重要部分是优化现有安全预算的使用。如果在设计变更或工厂改造的优先级上做出了错误的决定,那么一大笔预算很容易就会被花掉,而安全性却没有显著提高。本文讨论了系统分析的形式,以帮助实现安全工程预算的最佳使用。«少
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