IS SLOW ECONOMIC GROWTH ORIGINATING FROM THE TOTAL EXTERNAL DEBT STOCK IN DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO?

Olivier Munene Mupenda
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Abstract

Unsustainable debt reduces the productivity of a country. Ten years following its “1960 independence”, the Democratic Republic of Congo adopted policies that resorted to external finances while the world was at the peak of the 1970 Petro-dollar crisis. The following decade, in the 1980’s, with the fall in price of raw materials, the Democratic Republic of Congo was trapped in an unsustainable debt burden cycle that stagnated its economy and according to the World Bank data, reduced its GDP per Capita. The rise of active armed conflicts in the 1990’s and political unrest during the 2000's added pressures to resort to further financial support from external creditors, facilitating corruption and poverty in the process. The inability to service debts leads to economic consequences. One of these consequences is reduction in productivity. With empirical evidence, our analysis will be looking at the Congolese productivity from independence in 1960 to the historical democratic transfers of power in late 2018 to understand the effects of external debts in its economic growth.
经济增长缓慢是否源于刚果民主共和国的外债总额?
不可持续的债务会降低一个国家的生产率。在“1960年独立”10年后,刚果民主共和国(Democratic Republic of Congo)采取了求助于外部融资的政策,而当时世界正处于1970年石油美元危机的顶峰。接下来的十年,即20世纪80年代,随着原材料价格的下跌,刚果民主共和国陷入了一个不可持续的债务负担循环,经济停滞不前,根据世界银行的数据,人均国内生产总值下降。20世纪90年代活跃的武装冲突和21世纪初的政治动荡增加了向外部债权人寻求进一步财政支持的压力,在这一过程中助长了腐败和贫困。无力偿还债务会导致经济后果。其中一个后果就是生产力的降低。根据经验证据,我们的分析将着眼于刚果从1960年独立到2018年底历史性民主权力转移的生产力,以了解外债对其经济增长的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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