Nuclear Deterrence and A Prospective Assessment of the Russian-Ukrainian War

B. Gülboy, A. Ercan
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Abstract

Nuclear weapons, which people first became acquainted with in history with the attack on Hiroshima and Nagasaki by the United States of America towards the end of the Second World War, have been a deterrent tool, especially with this painful experience in which 220,000 civilians lost their lives, and have been used for this purpose when needed by those countries who possess them. Nuclear deterrence was most intensely used as a deterrent tool, especially during the Cold War and between the two great superpowers of the time, the Soviet Union and the United States. With the developments after Russia intervened in Ukraine in February 2022 and the wide support packages provided by Western countries to Ukraine, the President Vladimir Putin stated that the use of nuclear weapons is now among the options. In this study, firstly, concepts such as nuclear strategy, nuclear weapons, nuclear power, and nuclear deterrence will be discussed in the context of the conceptual framework; by following that, a prospective evaluation of the Russia-Ukraine war will be made in the context of nuclear deterrence.          
核威慑与俄乌战争的前瞻性评估
核武器在历史上是随着第二次世界大战即将结束时美利坚合众国对广岛和长崎的攻击而首次为人所知的,它一直是一种威慑工具,特别是有了造成22万平民丧生的痛苦经历之后,核武器在拥有核武器的国家需要时被用于这一目的。核威慑作为一种威慑工具被广泛使用,特别是在冷战期间以及当时两个超级大国苏联和美国之间。随着俄罗斯于2022年2月干预乌克兰局势的发展,以及西方国家向乌克兰提供的广泛支持方案,弗拉基米尔·普京总统表示,使用核武器现在是一种选择。在本研究中,首先,核战略、核武器、核动力和核威慑等概念将在概念框架的背景下进行讨论;随后,将在核威慑的背景下对俄乌战争进行前瞻性评估。
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