What Russian universities have chances to enter in 2020 TOP-100 of three leading world rankings?

Abstract

The analysis of the positioning of 52 leading Russian universities in three world rankings (QS, THE, ARWU) was carried out over a seven-year time interval. It is shown that from the analysis of materials and the roughest predictions based on linear extrapolation of data, it can be concluded that none of the 52 leading Russian universities can enter the TOP-100 of the considered ratings. It was concluded that at the very beginning of the launch of the 5–100 project an unreasonable assumption was made that five leading Russian universities could be included in the TOP-100 of one or several of the three world rankings. It is shown that for successful implementation of the project it would be necessary to carry out imitating modeling previously.