A New Strategic Agenda for E&P

N. Lowes, D. Mair, P. Markwell, J. Pettit
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

With crude oil prices down nearly 25% since June – when oil & gas companies were already strained by numerous industry challenges and increasingly active shareholders, conversations in the oil patch are converging on the same range of topics and with an increased sense of urgency.Conventional discovery volumes are in decline and there are fewer numbers of large fields. Moreover, the volumes are higher cost and lower value than in the past – more deep-water, more gas, and more unconventionals. The year 2013 marked the lowest level of conventional oil and gas discovered in decades, and conventional discovery volumes in 2014 look set to be about 30% lower again.A decline in conventional exploration accentuates the impact of other factors such as less quality and difficulty with access. Oil and gas companies are producing high quality, conventional barrels, but increasingly having to replace them with lower quality barrels (higher cost, more risk, poor reservoirs, heavy oil or harder to commercialize natural gas). Moreover, overspending in North American (NA) shale has driven down returns – the industry is pursuing higher cost resources globally.As prices continue to soften, oil and gas companies must respond to these trends and changes in the industry with a new strategic agenda, described herein.
勘探开发新战略议程
自6月份以来,原油价格下跌了近25%,而当时油气公司已经受到众多行业挑战和日益活跃的股东的压力,石油行业的讨论正集中在相同的话题范围内,紧迫感也在增加。常规发现量正在下降,大型油田的数量也在减少。此外,与过去相比,成本更高,价值更低——更多的深水、更多的天然气和更多的非常规油气。2013年是几十年来常规油气发现量最低的一年,2014年的常规油气发现量预计将再次下降30%左右。常规勘探的减少加剧了其他因素的影响,如质量下降和获取困难。石油和天然气公司正在生产高质量的常规桶,但越来越多的公司不得不用低质量的桶(成本更高、风险更大、储层差、重油或更难商业化的天然气)来取代它们。此外,北美(NA)页岩的过度投资降低了回报——该行业正在全球范围内寻求更高成本的资源。随着油价持续走软,油气公司必须制定新的战略议程来应对这些趋势和行业变化。
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