An investigation of causal relation between public debt and economic growth in Nigeria

Joseph Adelanke Adeyokunnu
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Abstract

Economic growth has been described as sustained increase in per capita national output or net national product over a long period of time. Public debt is the total amount of disbursed funds and contractual liabilities of residents of a country to repay principal and other related obligations to non-residents meanwhile public debt by and large refers to total national debt, also include the debt owed by states, provinces and municipalities/local government. Meanwhile granger causality was employed for this study as the estimator techniques. The data covered the period of 1970 – 2019, sources of data were obtained from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Annual Statistical Bulletin and index mundi. The study concluded that there exists positive significance causal relationship between public debt and economic growth unidirectional coming from the Economic Growth to Public Debt which means that economic growth can be achieved if the Public Debt is increased and he suggested that More ways of achieving economic growth.
尼日利亚公共债务与经济增长的因果关系研究
经济增长被描述为人均国民产出或国民净生产在很长一段时间内的持续增长。公共债务是一个国家的居民向非居民偿还本金和其他相关义务的支付资金和合同责任的总额,而公共债务一般是指国家债务总额,也包括州、省、市/地方政府所欠的债务。同时,本研究采用格兰杰因果关系作为估计技术。数据涵盖1970年至2019年,数据来源来自尼日利亚中央银行(CBN)年度统计公报和世界指数。研究得出了公共债务与经济增长之间存在正显著因果关系的结论,即单向从经济增长转向公共债务,即通过增加公共债务可以实现经济增长,并提出了更多实现经济增长的途径。
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