Rights of the EU citizens in the context of no deal Brexit scenario

Marta Sobiecka, Mikołaj Ślęzak
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Abstract

The United Kingdom joined the EU in 1973. Just two years later it was on the verge of leaving. There was a first referendum held but 67% of the British citizens voted to remain in the EU. Second referendum on the same issue was held in February 2016. Turnout was 71.8% - more than 30 million people cast their votes and by a slim 51.9% to 48.1% margin voted to leave. There were stark differences across the UK – both geographically and demographically. Also many argued that “leave” campaign was controversial and not related to the EU as a legal entity – more to its recent problems like eurozone and migration crises. Taking into account that there are only couple of days left to the Brexit day of April 12, 2019 (prolonged from original Brexit day of March 30, 2019), the most probable of all Brexit scenarios is no deal as the UK Parliament so far failed to agree on any option. On March 14, 2019 the House of Commons voted to take no deal option off the table, but the UK forgot that this is a default solution that will take place anyway in the absence of any agreement between the UK and the EU – it’s simply not UK’s internal choice to make. What did lead to the second Brexit referendum? Why did the UK question its presence in the EU? What will happen to the rights of EU citizens in no deal scenario that seems to be the most plausible at the moment? These questions will be answered in due course.
欧盟公民在无协议脱欧情况下的权利
英国于1973年加入欧盟。仅仅两年后,它就走到了离开的边缘。英国举行了第一次公投,但67%的英国公民投票支持留在欧盟。2016年2月就同一问题举行了第二次公投。投票率为71.8%,超过3000万人参加了投票,以51.9%对48.1%的微弱优势投票脱欧。英国各地存在着明显的差异——无论是在地理上还是在人口统计学上。还有许多人认为,“脱欧”运动是有争议的,与欧盟作为一个法律实体无关,更多的是与欧元区和移民危机等最近的问题有关。考虑到距离2019年4月12日的英国脱欧日(原定于2019年3月30日的脱欧日延长)只有几天的时间,由于英国议会迄今未能就任何选择达成一致,所有脱欧场景中最有可能出现的情况是无协议脱欧。2019年3月14日,英国下议院投票决定不考虑无协议脱欧选项,但英国忘记了,在英国和欧盟没有达成任何协议的情况下,这是一种默认的解决方案,无论如何都会发生——这根本不是英国内部的选择。是什么导致了第二次脱欧公投?英国为何质疑其在欧盟的存在?在目前看来最合理的无协议脱欧情景下,欧盟公民的权利会发生什么变化?这些问题将在适当的时候得到回答。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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