South Africa’s Post-apartheid ECONOMIC Development Trajectory

David Francis, A. Habib, I. Valodia
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Abstract

South Africa’s economic and social development trajectory in the post-apartheid period remains a controversial subject, notwithstanding the extensive literature that has developed. This chapter covers the full spectrum of this debate, but importantly also offers new insights and analysis of the issues. The literature is vast. At one extreme, views from the far left argue that the African National Congress (ANC) has essentially ‘sold out’ and followed uncritically a neo-liberal growth path, to defenders of the ANC’s policies from active participants in the process at the other extreme. Between these two views, there are a number of significant contributions. This chapter reviews the history and contestation of economic policy in South Africa and offers some explanations for why the country’s economic progress has been so uneven. It argues that chronic economic underperformance is the result of two persistent problems in the political-economic structure of South Africa. The first is the failure of politicians and policymakers to account for the limits of South African state capacity to implement even simple economic reforms; post-apartheid economic policymaking is characterized by an assumption that the South African state is able to carry out complex economic coordination and effect reforms. Second, the impasse is really a political one caused by ideological contestation within the ANC which has no mechanism to resolve the impasse.
南非后种族隔离时代的经济发展轨迹
南非在后种族隔离时期的经济和社会发展轨迹仍然是一个有争议的主题,尽管已经发展了大量的文献。本章涵盖了这场辩论的全部内容,但重要的是,也提供了对这些问题的新见解和分析。相关文献非常丰富。在一个极端,来自极左翼的观点认为,非洲人国民大会(ANC)基本上已经“出卖”了,不加批判地遵循了新自由主义的增长道路,而在另一个极端,ANC政策的捍卫者则是积极参与这一进程的人。在这两种观点之间,有许多重要的贡献。本章回顾了南非经济政策的历史和争议,并对该国经济发展如此不平衡的原因提供了一些解释。它认为,长期经济表现不佳是南非政治经济结构中两个持续存在的问题的结果。首先,政治家和政策制定者未能考虑到南非政府实施哪怕是简单经济改革的能力有限;后种族隔离经济政策制定的特点是假设南非国家能够进行复杂的经济协调并实施改革。其次,僵局实际上是由非国大内部的意识形态争论造成的政治僵局,而非国大没有解决僵局的机制。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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