Out There on Your Own: Absence of the Spouse and Migrants' Integration Outcomes

Friedrich Poeschel
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Abstract

In many countries, policies on family reunification of migrants are under review. Rules have become more restrictive in a number of cases, with unknown consequences for integration. This paper investigates quantitatively how absence of the spouse affects migrants' integration outcomes, also in the long term. A theoretical model of migrants' investment behaviour predicts that migrants tend to focus on the short term rather than long-term wage growth, until the spouse arrives and the probability of staying increases. Using the American Community Survey, I estimate the effects from absence of the spouse and delays in the spouse’s arrival. An instrumental variable is used to isolate the causal effect of delays. The results indicate that migrants focus more on work when their spouse is absent and that delays significantly decrease their long-term wages, by around 2% per year of delay.
独自在外:配偶的缺席与移民的融合结果
许多国家正在审查关于移徙者家庭团聚的政策。在许多情况下,规则变得更加严格,对整合产生了未知的后果。本文定量地调查了配偶的缺席如何影响移民的融合结果,也是长期的。一个关于移民投资行为的理论模型预测,移民倾向于关注短期而不是长期的工资增长,直到配偶到来,并且留下的可能性增加。利用美国社区调查,我估计了配偶缺席和配偶延迟到达的影响。使用工具变量来隔离延迟的因果效应。结果表明,当配偶不在时,移民会更加专注于工作,而延迟会显著降低他们的长期工资,每年延迟约2%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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