Partial Valuation in Cost-Benefit Analysis

A. Rowell
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) is considering promulgating a rule to increase rearview visibility in vehicles—a rule intended to reduce backover crashes, which occur when a vehicle moving in reverse strikes a pedestrian or a cyclist, and which kill hundreds and injure thousands of people a year. In performing a cost-benefit analysis of the proposed rule, NHTSA has refused to monetize many of the most emotional impacts of the rule, including the fact that many of the victims of backover crashes are small children. Without including these impacts, the monetized costs of the rule far exceed the monetized benefits. This Article argues that treating these effects of the rearview rule as nonmonetizable assumes that people are willing to pay no money to secure those effects, and that it is therefore likely to lead to significant undervaluation of the amount of money people are actually willing to pay for the regulation. Regulators are often averse to attempting to monetize the nonmonetary effects of regulations, particularly when those effects are deeply emotional, as they are whenever regulation touches upon the death of small children. Insofar as this hesitation to monetize stems from concern about the incommensurability of money and other goods, it should cease immediately. Incommensurability does not necessarily preclude partial valuation, or the partial expression of a good’s value in terms of another good. Even something as horrific and emotionally laden as the death of a child can therefore be partially valued in monetary terms—so long as people are willing to pay money to prevent the event from occurring. Emotional goods like these are difficult to think about, and even more difficult to monetize, but refusing to monetize them at all is not a reasonable solution.
成本效益分析中的部分估值
美国国家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)正在考虑颁布一项提高车辆后视镜可见度的规定,旨在减少倒车事故。倒车事故发生在车辆倒车时撞上行人或骑自行车的人,每年造成数百人死亡,数千人受伤。在对拟议规则进行成本效益分析时,NHTSA拒绝将该规则的许多最具情感影响货币化,包括许多倒车事故的受害者是小孩子的事实。如果不考虑这些影响,该规则的货币化成本将远远超过货币化收益。本文认为,将后视镜规则的这些影响视为不可货币化的假设是,人们不愿意支付任何钱来获得这些影响,因此很可能导致人们实际愿意为监管支付的金额被严重低估。监管机构通常不愿尝试将监管的非货币影响货币化,尤其是当这些影响是非常情绪化的时候,就像每当监管涉及到小孩子的死亡时一样。只要这种对货币化的犹豫源于对货币和其他商品不可通约性的担忧,就应该立即停止。不可通约性并不一定排除部分估值,或者用另一种商品来部分表达一种商品的价值。因此,即使是像一个孩子的死亡这样令人恐惧和充满情感的事情,也可以部分地用金钱来衡量——只要人们愿意花钱来防止这种事件的发生。像这样的情感商品很难想象,更难以盈利,但完全拒绝盈利并不是一个合理的解决方案。
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