THE IMPACT OF MEDICAID EXPANSION ON VOTER PARTICIPATION: EVIDENCE FROM THE OREGON HEALTH INSURANCE EXPERIMENT.

IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE
Katherine Baicker, Amy Finkelstein
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In 2008, a group of uninsured low-income adults in Oregon was selected by lottery for the chance to apply for Medicaid. Using this randomized design and state administrative data on voter behavior, we analyze how a Medicaid expansion affected voter turnout and registration. We find that Medicaid increased voter turnout in the November 2008 Presidential election by about 7 percent overall, with the effects concentrated in men (18 percent increase) and in residents of Democratic counties (10 percent increase); there is suggestive evidence that the increase in voting reflected new voter registrations, rather than increased turnout among pre-existing registrants. There is no evidence of an increase in voter turnout in subsequent elections, up to and including the November 2010 midterm election.

医疗补助扩大对选民参与的影响:来自俄勒冈州医疗保险实验的证据。
2008年,俄勒冈州的一群没有保险的低收入成年人被抽签选中,有机会申请医疗补助计划。使用这种随机设计和选民行为的州行政数据,我们分析了医疗补助扩张如何影响选民投票率和登记。我们发现,在2008年11月的总统选举中,医疗补助计划使选民投票率总体上提高了约7%,影响集中在男性(增加18%)和民主党县的居民(增加10%);有暗示的证据表明,投票人数的增加反映了新登记的选民,而不是先前登记的选民投票率的增加。没有证据表明在随后的选举中,包括2010年11月的中期选举,选民投票率有所增加。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
5.90%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: In the last half-century, social scientists have engaged in a methodologically focused and substantively far-reaching mission to make the study of politics scientific. The mutually reinforcing components in this pursuit are the development of positive theories and the testing of their empirical implications. Although this paradigm has been associated with many advances in the understanding of politics, no leading journal of political science is dedicated primarily to the publication of positive political science.
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