The mortality risk of being overweight in the twentieth century: Evidence from two cohorts of New Zealand men

IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Kris Inwood , Les Oxley , Evan Roberts
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

How have health and social mortality risks changed over time? Evidence from pre-1945 cohorts is sparse, mostly from the United States, and evidence is mixed on long-term changes in the risk of being overweight. We develop a dataset of men entering the NZ army in the two world wars, with objectively measured height and weight, and socioeconomic status in early adulthood. Our sample includes significant numbers of indigenous Māori, providing estimates of weight and mortality risk in an indigenous population. We follow men from war's end until death, with data on more than 12,000 men from each war. Overweight and obesity were important risk factors for mortality, and associated with shorter life expectancy. However, the reduction in life expectancy associated with being overweight declined from 5 to 3 years between the two cohorts, consistent with the hypothesis that being overweight became less risky during the twentieth century

20世纪超重的死亡风险:来自两组新西兰男性的证据
随着时间的推移,健康和社会死亡风险是如何变化的?1945年以前的研究证据很少,主要来自美国,而且关于超重风险的长期变化的证据也很复杂。我们开发了一个在两次世界大战中进入新西兰军队的男性数据集,客观地测量了他们的身高和体重,以及成年早期的社会经济地位。我们的样本包括相当数量的土著Māori,提供了土著人口体重和死亡风险的估计。我们从战争结束一直追踪男性直到死亡,每一场战争中有超过12000名男性的数据。超重和肥胖是死亡率的重要危险因素,并与预期寿命缩短有关。然而,在两组人群中,与超重相关的预期寿命减少从5年下降到3年,这与超重在20世纪风险降低的假设相一致
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
8.70%
发文量
27
期刊介绍: Explorations in Economic History provides broad coverage of the application of economic analysis to historical episodes. The journal has a tradition of innovative applications of theory and quantitative techniques, and it explores all aspects of economic change, all historical periods, all geographical locations, and all political and social systems. The journal includes papers by economists, economic historians, demographers, geographers, and sociologists. Explorations in Economic History is the only journal where you will find "Essays in Exploration." This unique department alerts economic historians to the potential in a new area of research, surveying the recent literature and then identifying the most promising issues to pursue.
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