The New Statistics for Better Science: Ask How Much, How Uncertain, and What Else is Known.

IF 1.8 4区数学 Q1 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY

American Statistician Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI:10.1080/00031305.2018.1518266

Robert J Calin-Jageman, Geoff Cumming

引用次数: 99

Abstract

The "New Statistics" emphasizes effect sizes, confidence intervals, meta-analysis, and the use of Open Science practices. We present 3 specific ways in which a New Statistics approach can help improve scientific practice: by reducing over-confidence in small samples, by reducing confirmation bias, and by fostering more cautious judgments of consistency. We illustrate these points through consideration of the literature on oxytocin and human trust, a research area that typifies some of the endemic problems that arise with poor statistical practice.

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更好的科学新统计:问多少，有多不确定，还有什么是已知的。

“新统计”强调效应大小、置信区间、元分析和开放科学实践的使用。我们提出了新统计学方法可以帮助改进科学实践的三种具体方式:通过减少对小样本的过度自信，通过减少确认偏差，以及通过培养更谨慎的一致性判断。我们通过考虑关于催产素和人类信任的文献来说明这些观点，这是一个研究领域，典型的一些地方性问题出现在不良的统计实践中。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

American Statistician 数学-统计学与概率论

CiteScore

3.50

自引率

5.60%

发文量

审稿时长

>12 weeks

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