新冠疫苗接种与经济政策不确定性、石油、债券和部门股票市场的联系:来自美国的证据。

IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
Imran Yousaf, Saba Qureshi, Fiza Qureshi, Mariya Gubareva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们在时间和频率域内研究了新冠疫苗接种与美国经济政策不确定性、石油、债券和部门股票市场的联系。基于小波的研究结果显示,在不同的频率范围和时期,新冠疫苗接种对石油和行业指数产生了积极影响。事实证明,疫苗接种将引领石油和行业股票市场。更具体地说,我们记录了疫苗接种与通信服务、金融、医疗保健、工业、信息技术(IT)和房地产股票行业的紧密联系。然而,在疫苗接种IT服务和疫苗接种实用程序配对中存在较弱的相互作用。此外,疫苗接种对国债指数的影响是负的,而经济政策的不确定性与疫苗接种呈现出交互的超前和滞后关系。进一步观察到,疫苗接种与公司债券指数之间的相关性并不显著。总体而言,疫苗接种对部门股票市场和经济政策不确定性的影响高于对石油和公司债券价格的影响。该研究为投资者、政府监管机构和政策制定者提供了几个重要启示。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Connectedness of COVID vaccination with economic policy uncertainty, oil, bonds, and sectoral equity markets: evidence from the US.

Connectedness of COVID vaccination with economic policy uncertainty, oil, bonds, and sectoral equity markets: evidence from the US.

Connectedness of COVID vaccination with economic policy uncertainty, oil, bonds, and sectoral equity markets: evidence from the US.

Connectedness of COVID vaccination with economic policy uncertainty, oil, bonds, and sectoral equity markets: evidence from the US.

We examine the connectedness of the COVID vaccination with the economic policy uncertainty, oil, bonds, and sectoral equity markets in the US within time and frequency domain. The wavelet-based findings show the positive impact of COVID vaccination on the oil and sector indices over various frequency scales and periods. The vaccination is evidenced to lead the oil and sectoral equity markets. More specifically, we document strong connectedness of vaccinations with communication services, financials, health care, industrials, information technology (IT) and real estate equity sectors. However, weak interactions exist within the vaccination-IT-services and vaccination-utilities pairs. Moreover, the effect of vaccination on the Treasury bond index is negative, whereas the economic policy uncertainty shows an interchanging lead and lag relation with vaccination. It is further observed that the interrelation between vaccination and the corporate bond index is insignificant. Overall, the impact of vaccination on the sectoral equity markets and economic policy uncertainty is higher than on oil and corporate bond prices. The study offers several important implications for investors, government regulators, and policymakers.

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来源期刊
Annals of Operations Research
Annals of Operations Research 管理科学-运筹学与管理科学
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
16.70%
发文量
596
审稿时长
8.4 months
期刊介绍: The Annals of Operations Research publishes peer-reviewed original articles dealing with key aspects of operations research, including theory, practice, and computation. The journal publishes full-length research articles, short notes, expositions and surveys, reports on computational studies, and case studies that present new and innovative practical applications. In addition to regular issues, the journal publishes periodic special volumes that focus on defined fields of operations research, ranging from the highly theoretical to the algorithmic and the applied. These volumes have one or more Guest Editors who are responsible for collecting the papers and overseeing the refereeing process.
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