红细胞分布宽度和红细胞分布宽与血清总钙的比值作为急性胰腺炎预后的预测指标。

Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-03-27 DOI:10.4103/ijabmr.ijabmr_286_22
Varun Gupta, Savjot Singh Narang, Chiranjiv Singh Gill, Pavneet Kaur Selhi, Manvi Gupta
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:目前急性胰腺炎(AP)的严重程度评估评分包括多个变量,其结果只有在入院48小时后才能获得。红细胞分布宽度(RDW)和血清总钙(TSC)是与炎症状态相关的简单常规参数,其结果很容易获得。目的:本研究的目的是评估住院24小时内的RDW和RDW:TSC作为AP患者所需的结果(严重程度和死亡率)和干预(医疗/经皮引流/手术)的预测因素。材料和方法:所有在三级护理医院诊断为AP的患者都被纳入本研究。收集RDW和TSC的值以及与所给予的治疗有关的数据。诊断和严重程度根据2012年修订的Atlanta分类进行定义。结果和解释:预测AP严重程度的RDW(受试者工作特征曲线下面积[AURC]:0.997;P=0.000)的截止值为16.25%(敏感性为-100%,特异性为97.1%)(敏感性-100%,特异性-97.1%,阳性预测值-92.31%,阴性预测值-100%,尤登指数-0.971),而RDW:TSC(AUROC:1;P=0.000)为2.42(敏感性-1000%;特异性-100%,阳性预报值-100%、阴性预报值-1000%,尤登指数-1.00)。类似地,RDW(AUROC:0.947;P=0.000)预测AP死亡率的临界值为17.20%(敏感性为100%;特异性为87.4%,阳性预测值为38.89%,阴性预测值为100%,Youden指数为0.874),RDW与TSC的比值(AUROC=0.975;P=0.0000)为2.9(敏感性-100%;特异性-96.6%,阳性预测值-70%,阴性预测值-100%,Youden指数-0.966)。结论:我们的研究发现,RDW和RDW:TSC是AP患者严重程度和死亡率的快速、方便、经济、敏感和可靠的预后预测因子。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Red Cell Distribution Width and Ratio of Red Cell Distribution Width-to-Total Serum Calcium as Predictors of Outcome of Acute Pancreatitis.

Red Cell Distribution Width and Ratio of Red Cell Distribution Width-to-Total Serum Calcium as Predictors of Outcome of Acute Pancreatitis.

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Red Cell Distribution Width and Ratio of Red Cell Distribution Width-to-Total Serum Calcium as Predictors of Outcome of Acute Pancreatitis.

Background: Current severity assessment scores of acute pancreatitis (AP) include multiple variables, the results of which are available only after 48 h of admission. Red cell distribution width (RDW) and total serum calcium (TSC) are simple routine parameters related to inflammatory status and results of which are readily available.

Aim: The aim of this study was to evaluate RDW and RDW: TSC within 24 h of hospital admission as predictors of outcome (severity and mortality) and intervention (medical/percutaneous drainage/surgical) required by patients of AP.

Materials and methods: All the patients diagnosed with AP at a tertiary care hospital were enrolled for the study. Values of RDW and TSC along with data regarding the treatment given were collected. Diagnosis and severity were defined according to the revised Atlanta classification 2012.

Results and interpretation: Cutoff value for RDW (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]: 0.997; P = 0.000) to predict the severity of AP was 16.25% (sensitivity - 100% and specificity - 97.1%,) (sensitivity - 100% and specificity - 97.1%, positive predictive value - 92.31%, negative predictive value - 100%, and Youden Index - 0.971), while that of RDW:TSC (AUROC: 1; P = 0.000) was 2.42 (sensitivity - 100%; specificity - 100%, positive predictive value - 100%, negative predictive value - 100%, and Youden Index - 1.00). Similarly, the cutoff value for RDW (AUROC: 0.947; P = 0.000) to predict mortality in AP was 17.20% (sensitivity - 100%; specificity - 87.4%, positive predictive value - 38.89%, negative predictive value - 100%, and Youden Index - 0.874) and that of RDW-to-TSC ratio (AUROC: 0.975; P = 0.000) was 2.9 (sensitivity - 100%; specificity - 96.6%, positive predictive value - 70%, negative predictive value - 100%, and Youden Index - 0.966).

Conclusion: Our study found that RDW and RDW: TSC were quick, convenient, economic, sensitive, and dependable prognostic predictors of severity and mortality in patients with AP.

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