{"title":"有问题的研究实践和累积科学:选择性报告对效应大小偏差和异质性的影响。","authors":"Samantha F Anderson, Xinran Liu","doi":"10.1037/met0000572","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Despite increased attention to open science and transparency, questionable research practices (QRPs) remain common, and studies published using QRPs will remain a part of the published record for some time. A particularly common type of QRP involves multiple testing, and in some forms of this, researchers report only a selection of the tests conducted. Methodological investigations of multiple testing and QRPs have often focused on implications for a single study, as well as how these practices can increase the likelihood of false positive results. However, it is illuminating to consider the role of these QRPs from a broader, literature-wide perspective, focusing on consequences that affect the interpretability of results across the literature. In this article, we use a Monte Carlo simulation study to explore the consequences of two QRPs involving multiple testing, cherry picking and question trolling, on effect size bias and heterogeneity among effect sizes. Importantly, we explicitly consider the role of real-world conditions, including sample size, effect size, and publication bias, that amend the influence of these QRPs. Results demonstrated that QRPs can substantially affect both bias and heterogeneity, although there were many nuances, particularly relating to the influence of publication bias, among other factors. The present study adds a new perspective to how QRPs may influence researchers' ability to evaluate a literature accurately and cumulatively, and points toward yet another reason to continue to advocate for initiatives that reduce QRPs. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).</p>","PeriodicalId":20782,"journal":{"name":"Psychological methods","volume":" ","pages":"1017-1042"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Questionable research practices and cumulative science: The consequences of selective reporting on effect size bias and heterogeneity.\",\"authors\":\"Samantha F Anderson, Xinran Liu\",\"doi\":\"10.1037/met0000572\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Despite increased attention to open science and transparency, questionable research practices (QRPs) remain common, and studies published using QRPs will remain a part of the published record for some time. A particularly common type of QRP involves multiple testing, and in some forms of this, researchers report only a selection of the tests conducted. Methodological investigations of multiple testing and QRPs have often focused on implications for a single study, as well as how these practices can increase the likelihood of false positive results. However, it is illuminating to consider the role of these QRPs from a broader, literature-wide perspective, focusing on consequences that affect the interpretability of results across the literature. In this article, we use a Monte Carlo simulation study to explore the consequences of two QRPs involving multiple testing, cherry picking and question trolling, on effect size bias and heterogeneity among effect sizes. Importantly, we explicitly consider the role of real-world conditions, including sample size, effect size, and publication bias, that amend the influence of these QRPs. Results demonstrated that QRPs can substantially affect both bias and heterogeneity, although there were many nuances, particularly relating to the influence of publication bias, among other factors. The present study adds a new perspective to how QRPs may influence researchers' ability to evaluate a literature accurately and cumulatively, and points toward yet another reason to continue to advocate for initiatives that reduce QRPs. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
尽管人们越来越关注开放科学和透明度,但有问题的研究实践(qrp)仍然很常见,使用qrp发表的研究在一段时间内仍将是已发表记录的一部分。一种特别常见的QRP类型涉及多次测试,在某些形式的测试中,研究人员只报告了所进行测试的一部分。多次测试和qrp的方法学调查通常侧重于对单一研究的影响,以及这些做法如何增加假阳性结果的可能性。然而,从更广泛的、文献范围内的角度来考虑这些qrp的作用是有启发性的,重点是影响文献中结果的可解释性的后果。在本文中,我们使用蒙特卡罗模拟研究来探讨涉及多重测试的两个qrp,樱桃挑选和问题trolling,对效应大小偏差和效应大小异质性的影响。重要的是,我们明确考虑了现实世界条件的作用,包括样本量、效应量和发表偏倚,这些条件可以修正这些qrp的影响。结果表明,尽管存在许多细微差别,特别是与发表偏倚的影响有关,但qrp可以实质上影响偏倚和异质性。目前的研究为qrp如何影响研究人员准确和累积评估文献的能力提供了一个新的视角,并指出了继续倡导减少qrp的另一个原因。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
Questionable research practices and cumulative science: The consequences of selective reporting on effect size bias and heterogeneity.
Despite increased attention to open science and transparency, questionable research practices (QRPs) remain common, and studies published using QRPs will remain a part of the published record for some time. A particularly common type of QRP involves multiple testing, and in some forms of this, researchers report only a selection of the tests conducted. Methodological investigations of multiple testing and QRPs have often focused on implications for a single study, as well as how these practices can increase the likelihood of false positive results. However, it is illuminating to consider the role of these QRPs from a broader, literature-wide perspective, focusing on consequences that affect the interpretability of results across the literature. In this article, we use a Monte Carlo simulation study to explore the consequences of two QRPs involving multiple testing, cherry picking and question trolling, on effect size bias and heterogeneity among effect sizes. Importantly, we explicitly consider the role of real-world conditions, including sample size, effect size, and publication bias, that amend the influence of these QRPs. Results demonstrated that QRPs can substantially affect both bias and heterogeneity, although there were many nuances, particularly relating to the influence of publication bias, among other factors. The present study adds a new perspective to how QRPs may influence researchers' ability to evaluate a literature accurately and cumulatively, and points toward yet another reason to continue to advocate for initiatives that reduce QRPs. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
期刊介绍:
Psychological Methods is devoted to the development and dissemination of methods for collecting, analyzing, understanding, and interpreting psychological data. Its purpose is the dissemination of innovations in research design, measurement, methodology, and quantitative and qualitative analysis to the psychological community; its further purpose is to promote effective communication about related substantive and methodological issues. The audience is expected to be diverse and to include those who develop new procedures, those who are responsible for undergraduate and graduate training in design, measurement, and statistics, as well as those who employ those procedures in research.