Added value of chest CT images to a personalized prognostic model in acute respiratory distress syndrome: a retrospective study.

Background: Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a critical disease in the intensive care unit (ICU) with high morbidity and mortality. The accuracy for predicting ARDS patients' outcome with mechanical ventilation is limited, and most based on clinical information.

Methods: The patients diagnosed with ARDS between January 2014 and June 2019 were retrospectively recruited. Radiomics features were extracted from the upper, middle, and lower levels of the lung, and were further analyzed with the primary outcome (28-day mortality after ARDS onset). The univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied to figure out risk factors. Various predictive models were constructed and compared.

Results: Of 366 ARDS patients recruited in this study, 276 (median age, 64 years [interquartile range, 54-75 years]; 208 male) survive on the Day 28. Among all factors, the APACHE II Score (OR 2.607, 95% CI 1.896-3.584, P < 0.001), the Radiomics_Score of the middle lung (OR 2.230, 95% CI 1.387-3.583, P = 0.01), the Radiomics_Score of the lower lung (OR 1.633, 95% CI 1.143-2.333, P = 0.01) were associated with the 28-day mortality. The clinical_radiomics predictive model (AUC 0.813, 95% CI 0.767-0.850) show the best performance compared with the clinical model (AUC 0.758, 95% CI 0.710-0.802), the radiomics model (AUC 0.692, 95% CI 0.641-0.739) and the various ventilator parameter-based models (highest AUC 0.773, 95% CI 0.726-0.815).

Conclusions: The radiomics features of chest CT images have incremental values in predicting the 28-day mortality in ARDS patients with mechanical ventilation.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s42058-023-00116-x.