发展预防犯罪方案的成本效益分析

IF 1.1 4区 医学 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY
Christopher J. Koegl, David P. Farrington, Brandon C. Welsh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

有可能成为早发性终身持续犯罪者的儿童和青年往往从社会其他系统(例如卫生、教育、儿童福利、药物使用和精神卫生)的缝隙中溜走。当他们这样做时,他们给社会带来了巨大的经济负担。发展性犯罪预防规划力求通过以证据为基础的干预措施来降低这些成本,这些干预措施针对儿童和家庭个体的反社会行为风险和保护因素。目的本研究回顾了DCP干预措施的成本效益分析研究,以确定它们是否产生了超过项目成本的货币效益。方法:我们检索了采用高质量研究方法(即实验或准实验设计)评估干预措施的研究文献。总结了这些评价的主要特点,并报告了效益成本比(bcr)。结果11项成本效益分析(CBA)评价符合研究标准。这些项目在目标人群(如孕妇、高危青年)、参与者年龄(如成人、儿童、老年青年)、干预持续时间(如10周到4年)和随访间隔(如6个月至50年)方面各不相同。11项研究中有10项产生了有利的bcr,范围在1.35至31.77之间,具体取决于货币化结果的类型和范围。结论从成本效益的角度来看,有强有力的证据支持DCP。然而,考虑到用于分析的研究数量较少,需要更多的前瞻性纵向CBA评估,以及用于将结果货币化的范围和方法的更大一致性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cost-benefit analyses of developmental crime prevention programmes

Background

Children and youth who are at risk of becoming early-onset life-course-persistent offenders often slip through the cracks of other systems in society (e.g., health, education, child welfare, substance use and mental health). When they do, they impose an enormous economic burden on society. Developmental crime prevention (DCP) programmes seek to reduce these costs through evidence-based interventions that target individual child and family risk and protective factors for antisocial behaviour.

Aim

This study reviewed cost-benefit analysis studies of DCP interventions to identify whether they produced monetary benefits that exceeded programme costs.

Method

We searched the literature for studies of interventions that were evaluated using high-quality research methods (i.e., experimental or quasi-experimental designs). Key characteristics of these evaluations are summarised and benefit-to-cost ratios (BCRs) are reported.

Results

Eleven cost-benefit analysis (CBA) evaluations met study criteria. The programmes varied in terms of who they targeted (e.g., pregnant mothers, at-risk youth), the age of participants (e.g., adults, children, older youth), the intervention duration (e.g., 10 weeks to 4 years), and the follow-up interval (e.g., 6 months to 50 years). Ten of the 11 studies produced favourable BCRs, ranging between 1.35 and 31.77, depending on the type and scope of outcomes that were monetised.

Conclusion

There is strong evidence in support of DCP from a cost-benefit perspective. However, given the small number of studies for analysis, more prospective longitudinal CBA evaluations are needed, in addition to greater consistency in the scope and methods that are used to monetise outcomes.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
40
期刊介绍: Criminal Behaviour & Mental Health – CBMH – aims to publish original material on any aspect of the relationship between mental state and criminal behaviour. Thus, we are interested in mental mechanisms associated with offending, regardless of whether the individual concerned has a mental disorder or not. We are interested in factors that influence such relationships, and particularly welcome studies about pathways into and out of crime. These will include studies of normal and abnormal development, of mental disorder and how that may lead to offending for a subgroup of sufferers, together with information about factors which mediate such a relationship.
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