从生活史的角度看埃塞俄比亚农村的长期贫困

Laura Camfield, Keetie Roelen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用回顾性定性数据(生活史)结合纵向面板数据来研究长期贫困,现在被广泛认为可以提供更深入、更可靠的见解(Davis和Baulch, 2009)。本文使用了三轮面板数据和Young Lives收集的生活史,这是一项关于儿童贫困的纵向研究,以确定导致埃塞俄比亚农村家庭变得或保持贫困的因素,以及对这些家庭中的儿童的相关影响。它结合了以案例为中心和以变量为中心的方法(Ragin, 1987),在定性和定量技术的基础上分析和比较单个家庭的经验,并通过在更大的样本中观察家庭(变量)的属性来质疑这些发现。关于贫困“驱动者”和“维护者”的实质性发现(Baulch, 2011)支持了之前的研究:降雨、疾病、债务、被排除在主要形式的社会保护之外。但是,通过混合不同类型的数据和分析,该论文能够表明,导致家庭陷入贫困的因素是多种因素的组合,而不是单一事件,而且家庭特征可能是一个重要因素。本文的主要贡献在于方法论,因为它提出了一种利用生活史来调查埃塞俄比亚农村长期贫困的新方法,通过产生或测试关于贫困驱动因素和维持因素的假设/发现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Chronic Poverty in Rural Ethiopia through the Lens of Life Histories

Studying chronic poverty using retrospective qualitative data (life histories) in conjunction with longitudinal panel data is now widely recognised to provide deeper and more reliable insights (Davis and Baulch, 2009). This paper uses three rounds of panel data and life histories collected by Young Lives, a longitudinal study of childhood poverty, to identify factors that contribute to households becoming or remaining poor in rural Ethiopia, with related effects on the children within those households. It combines a case-centred and a variable-centred approach (Ragin, 1987), analysing and comparing the experiences of individual households on the basis of qualitative and quantitative techniques and interrogating these findings by looking at attributes of households (variables) across a larger sample. The substantive findings on poverty ‘drivers’ and ‘maintainers’ (Baulch, 2011) support those of previous studies: rainfall, illness, debt, exclusion from the main form of social protection. But by mixing different types of data and analysis, the paper was able to show that combinations of factors rather than single events drive households into poverty, and that household characteristics can play an important factor. The primary contribution of the paper is methodological as it presents a novel method of using life histories to investigate chronic poverty in rural Ethiopia by generating or testing hypotheses/findings on poverty drivers and maintainers.

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